What people fear most about tragedy is its randomness - a taxi cab jumps the curb and hits a pedestrian a gun misfires and kills a bystander. Better to have some rational cause and effect between incident and injury. And if cause and effect aren't possible better that there at least be some reward for all the suffering.
They say military have the so-called 'secret intelligence' - this amount of intelligence must be very secret since I've never seen any intelligent military person nor I have seen any sense in the bloody stupid wars.