Probability is expectation founded upon partial knowledge. A perfect acquaintance with all the circumstances affecting the occurrence of an event would change expectation into certainty and leave nether room nor demand for a theory of probabilities.
Religious faith depends on a host of social psychological and emotional factors that have little or nothing to do with probabilities evidence and logic.
I find fault with my children because I like them and I want them to go places - uprightness and strength and courage and civil respect and anything that affects the probabilities of failure on the part of those that are closest to me that concerns me - I find fault.
All business proceeds on beliefs or judgements of probabilities and not on certainties.
Advertising is a racket like the movies and the brokerage business. You cannot be honest without admitting that its constructive contribution to humanity is exactly minus zero.